As Europe and other regions swelter, a UN researcher cautioned that climate change was enabling increasingly intense and long-lasting heatwaves, which in some areas could soon begin to hit year-round.
Extreme heat has dominated the headlines in recent weeks, from the current "heat dome" cooking much of Europe, to heat-fuelled wildfires raging in Greece, Spain, Canada and Hawaii, and soaring temperatures in the middle of the South American winter.
Heatwaves are beginning earlier, lasting longer and becoming more intense, John Nairn, a senior extreme heat advisor at the UN's World Meteorological Organization (WMO), told AFP in an interview.
"It's the most rapidly emerging consequence of global warming that we are seeing in the weather systems," he said, stressing that this was in line with scientific predictions.
"People are far too relaxed about the signs," he lamented.
"The science has been saying this is coming your way. And this is not where it stops."
"It will only get more intense and more frequent."
- 'Parked' heat -
One reason, he explained, was that global warming appears to be leading to a weakening of the global jet streams -- air that flows high in the Earth's atmosphere.
As the jet stream waves grow slower and wavier, they allow weather systems to "become parked" in one spot for longer.
"You can get a summertime situation where you get persistent heatwaves, and the heat just builds and builds and builds, because the wave is not moving on," Nairn said.
If you look at the planet as a whole, he said you could see that "these heatwaves are appearing in each of those same wavelengths around the globe".
"The slowing down and parking of the weather patterns is setting us up so that North America, parts of the Atlantic ocean, Europe and Asia are simultaneously sitting in the (wave) ridges, getting caught."
Heatwaves are among the deadliest natural hazards, with hundreds of thousands of people dying from preventable heat-related causes each year.
- 'More dangerous' -
Nairn called for the conversation around heat to become "smarter".
Among other things, he said, there should be far more focus on rising overnight minimum temperatures than on the maximum day temperatures that grab headlines.
Repeated high nighttime temperatures are particularly dangerous for human health, since the body is unable to recover from the heat it suffers through during the day.
Higher overnight temperatures also mean that the energy accumulated during the day has nowhere to go, pushing temperatures even higher the next day.
The fact that minimum temperatures are rising faster than maximums is thus pushing excess energy "into longer periods of higher temperatures", Nairn said.
"It's cumulative... So heatwaves are becoming much more dangerous."
And as the climate continues to change, the situation is due to get worse, Nairn said.
He voiced particular concern over the situation in the tropics and subtropics, pointing to the record heat seen in South America, with temperatures up towards 40 degrees Celsius in the middle of what is supposed to be their winter.
Looking forward, he cautioned that "we're going to see a lot more heatwaves across a much longer period of the year".
In the tropics and subtropics, "unfortunately, the indications are that severe and extreme heatwaves are likely to
be able to occur anytime (of year) before the end of the century".
Less sunlight means year-round extreme heatwaves are not expected at other latitudes, but Nairn stressed that there too we will be seeing more "unseasonably warm periods" even in winter.
Asked what could be done to rein in the rampant heat, Nairn stressed that "all of us have the capabilities to actually turn this around".
"We need to electrify everything... and stop burning fossil fuels. It's not harder than that."
French heatwave sets new late-summer record
Paris (AFP) Aug 23 - Temperatures in France hit an all-time high for late summer on Tuesday, the weather authority said, as the country continues to swelter under a punishing heatwave.
The nationwide average temperature over 24 hours hit 26.9 degrees Celsius (80.5 Fahrenheit), Meteo France announced Wednesday -- ahead of an expected peak in the August hot spell expected in the second half of the week.
Such continuously high temperatures have never been recorded so late in summer in records going back to 1947, the weather authority added.
Monday had already brought temperatures topping the previous 26.6 C record set in 2012.
Some 19 of mainland France's 96 departments were on red alert for heat on Wednesday, with 37 others at the lower orange warning level.
"A lasting and intense heatwave is in place across the southern two thirds of the country," Meteo France said.
Maximum temperatures in southern regions including the Rhone valley, the Occitanie region bordering Spain and the Aquitaine region around Bordeaux could reach 42 C, the authority added.
Meteo France added that much of the south would see temperatures coming close to or touching 40 C on Thursday, adding even minimum temperatures would surpass 20 C.
While the south is bearing the brunt of the heatwave, the north is not escaping weather-related misery altogether.
Parts of the northwest -- though not Brittany -- were being placed on orange alert from midnight Wednesday not for heat but for risk of severe gales accompanied by hailstorms and heavy rain as well as gusts of wind reaching 100 kph, Meteo France said.
Artificial Intelligence Analysis
Defense Industry Analyst: 6Stock Market Analyst: 4General Industry Analyst: 6Analyst Summary
:
This article highlights the increasing intensity and duration of heatwaves due to climate change, which has been predicted by science for some time. The article points to a weakening of the global jet streams, which allows for weather systems to become “parked”, leading to a situation where heat just builds and builds. This could lead to year-round heatwaves in some areas, with the potential for long-term consequences for the defense, stock market, and general industries. The article points to a correlation between the increase in global temperatures and the rise in intensity and duration of heatwaves, which is in line with the predictions of climate change scientists. Investigative
Question:
- 1. What are the potential long-term impacts of increased heatwaves to the defense industry?
- 2. How might the stock market be affected by a shift to year-round heatwaves?
- 3.
How could this new reality of year-round heatwaves impact the general industry?4. What changes in behavior and/or policy could help to mitigate the effects of more intense heatwaves?
5. Could the effects of year-round heatwaves be amplified by other climate change effects, such as sea level rise or extreme weather events?
This AI report is generated by a sophisticated prompt to a ChatGPT API. Our editors clean text for presentation, but preserve AI thought for our collective observation. Please comment and ask questions about AI use by Spacedaily. We appreciate your support and contribution to better trade news.
